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January 8, 2014

Daily analysis, Wednesday, January 8

We’ve had two interesting scenarios so far this week. Will Wednesday follow suit?The Final Wager January 8, 2014

We’ve got a tight one today. Let’s see what happens.

Andrew Nelson: 9,000
Dinu Nesan: 9,900
Julia Dye: 8,200

The Final Jeopardy! category: 2013 OBITUARIES

In a tight game like this, the second-place player is usually squeezed and needs a bit of a miracle to win. Things tend to go the way of first place (if it’s an easy clue) or third place (if it’s a hard clue).

Dinu should wager 8,100 to lock out Andrew.

Andrew is in what’s known as Stratton’s Dilemma. If he wants to lock out Julia, he’ll need to wager at least 7,400. If he gets it wrong, though, he’ll probably lose to Dinu if Dinu also misses. If he’s unsure he’ll get the question right, he should go for at most 7,200.

Julia should wager between 1,700 (to cover zero wagers by her opponents) and 6,400 (to stay above both if they both wager rationally and everyone misses).

In the end, we had good wagers from all three of our players. Nice work, and congrats to Dinu!

Final Jeopardy wagering January 8, 2014

The Final Jeopardy! clue for January 8, 2014 (2013 OBITUARIES):

Correct response: Who was Margaret Thatcher?

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