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January 7, 2014

Daily analysis, Tuesday, January 7

Today’s special guest star: my radiator. Brr.The Final Wager January 7, 2014

A few people doubted Mary knew what she was doing yesterday, but I disagree. The jury’s still out, and she’s got herself yet another interesting scenario with which to deal.

Mary Manhardt: 12,800
Carolyn Gawlik: 6,400
Andrew Nelson: 12,400

This is a special wager-to-tie situation, one that I don’t expect many people to recognize right off the bat. It doesn’t even have a name. The math is: first has twice third; second is closer to first than to third.

Mary will need to wager at least 12,000 to secure a victory against Andrew.

Andrew can wager at most 11,600 against Mary; against Carolyn, however, he can wager no more than 6,000, and should put up at least 400 to cover her all-in wager.

Carolyn is where things get interesting. She can wager no more than 5,600 against Mary, but she also must wager at least 5,600 against Andrew. This means Carolyn must wager 5,600.

Recall Rule #4: If your opponent is forced into a specific wager, hone yours.

Mary needs to wager exactly 12,000, lest she risk falling below Carolyn should they both miss.

Andrew doesn’t want to risk falling below Carolyn, either, so he should wager no more than 400 – meaning he must wager 400.

All players have alternatives, but none is very good, in my opinion. Assuming “rational” wagers by the other, Carolyn can wager everything to tie Andrew if they’re both right; Andrew can wager everything to tie Mary if they’re both right; Mary can wager zero to secure a victory.

Andrew did well for himself. I don’t get the extra 400 from Mary, though. Was yesterday a fluke? I’ll give her the benefit of the doubt.

Final Jeopardy wagering January 7, 2014

The Final Jeopardy! clue for January 7, 2014:

The Final Jeopardy! category: THE TITANIC

Correct response: Who was Guglielmo Marconi?

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