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December 25, 2013

Daily analysis, Wednesday, December 25

Merry Christmas, from my family to yours! Don’t take it from me – let them say it to you.

Look at Larry go! But he’s been unable to put away his third consecutive game. (I bet he regrets not going bigger than $6,000 on that $800 Daily Double in the second round!) Anthony is hanging around, needing to get it right and for Larry to get it wrong. Roxann made a courageous Daily Double wager and it put her out of contention. No shame there.

Larry White: 19,600
Anthony Niblett: 11,000
Roxann Smith: 5,000

The Final Jeopardy! category: AUTHORS

On that last clue, I was hoping that (1) Anthony would miss the clue (perhaps intentionally) and (2) Larry would get it right. Then the scores would have been 20,400-10,200, and as it happened, both players would have moved on to tomorrow.

So now, for the wagering.

If Anthony doubles up, he’ll have 22,000. So Larry should go for at least 2,400. He can wager up to 8,600 if he so desires (the difference between him and Anthony).

Anthony needs to wager at least 6,200 to be in contention against Larry. A better range is 8,600 or more, to cover an irrational zero wager from Larry. His best wager, really, is everything – maximizing his potential upside at the negligible risk of falling to third.

Roxann can wager at most 199 to ensure a second-place finish should Anthony get it wrong. This is why Anthony should go for more of the upside: he can’t beat Roxann for second if she wagers properly.

Unsurprisingly, she went for almost everything, costing her a shot at finishing second. Anthony left $2,399 on the table, but he’ll still be back tomorrow.

Final Jeopardy wagers December 25, 2013

The Final Jeopardy! clue for December 25, 2013:

“THE AMERICAN TOLKIEN” WAS WHAT TIME MAGAZINE CALLED THIS AUTHOR WITH THE SAME 2 MIDDLE INITIALS AS TOLKIEN

Correct response: Who is George R.R. Martin?

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