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December 12, 2013

Daily analysis, December 12

It’s cold in New York, so my radiator makes an unwanted audible cameo in today’s video.

Meredith’s strong but short run looks like it’s going to come to an end, as she’s got less than the difference between Rachel and Woody. She’ll need some large wagers from both to have a shot.

Meredith Larson: 3,600
Rachel Hirsch: 8,400
Woody Bell: 12,600

Notice anything strange here? Watching Part Two of my tutorial might help you.

Woody should wager 4,200 exactly. Since Rachel has exactly 2/3 of his score, the Major should wager for the tie. If he throws on that extra buck, he’ll have 8,399 if he’s wrong – a dollar less than what Rachel has going into Final.

Rachel can make a choice. Her safest wager is 0; she’ll win or tie if Woody gets it wrong. But if she thinks Woody will recognize the situation and go for the tie, like Bill Tolany did over a month ago, she can wager everything. Anything between these two ends of the spectrum is unacceptable.

Meredith is locked out, because she can only double up to 7,200. She should leave at least a dollar in case Rachel goes for broke; if Rachel wagers zero, Meredith’s choice is moot.

Ohhhhhh man. Come on you guys.

Final Jeopardy wagering December 12, 2013

You have to recognize these situations – even if you’re in third and trying to maximize your consolation prize. But it’s much more important for the first- and second-place players.

Here’s a demonstration of how Woody’s wager could have totally dicked him over, had Rachel wagered zero.

Final Jeopardy wagering alternative December 12, 2013

I can’t tell if Woody recognized his mistake before the closing credits and was counting his stars, or if he was just looking down because he was overwhelmed by having won the game.

Meredith Larson, Rachel Hirsch, Woody Bell Final Jeopardy December 12, 2013

The Final Jeopardy! clue for December 12, 2013:

21st CENTURY NOVELS
IN A LETTER TO THE AUTHOR, PRESIDENT OBAMA CALLED THIS “A LOVELY BOOK–AN ELEGANT PROOF OF GOD, AND THE POWER OF STORYTELLING”

Correct response: What is The Life of Pi?

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Title
The Final Wager's Daily Analysis - December 12, 2013
Description
Analysis of the Final Jeopardy! wagers for the match that first aired December 12, 2013 between Meredith Larson, Rachel Hirsch, and Woody Bell.
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