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November 19, 2013

Daily analysis, November 19 – Teachers Tournament SF #2

2013 Teachers Tournament
Quarterfinals Semifinals Finals
1 2 3 4 5 1 2 3 1 2

On to our second of three semifinals. Will our players wager properly today?

Cover 20131119

Patrick had a Penultimate Wager opportunity but decided to keep himself in third place. A smaller wager might have done better for him in terms of strategy, but that’s for another time.

Patrick Dillon: 7,800
Anne Baxter: 15,100
Becky Giardina: 12,400

Unlike many games that might have an element of “poker”, there’s no reason whatsoever to deviate from these strategies.

Anne should wager exactly 9,701 to guarantee herself the victory with a correct response.

Becky should wager at least 3,201 to keep Patrick at bay, but no more than 4,599 to force him to be correct to have a shot.

Patrick needs a correct response to win assuming rational wagers by the other two. He should put up at least 1,400 to beat out Becky, but no more than 2,400 to avoid falling below Anne should they both miss.

Becky was going to win no matter what with the lone correct response. But had she missed, too, she would have fallen to third. With a smaller wager, she would have won regardless.

Given this scenario, Patrick might also have benefited from a smaller wager.

The outcome was fine for Becky, but the process could have been so much better.

Final Jeopardy wagering November 19 2013

The Final Jeopardy! clue for November 19, 2013:

THE 2012 OLYMPICS
NBC REPORTED THAT IN THE FIRST DAYS OF OLYMPIC COVERAGE, THIS SPORT SEEN IN RECENT BOOKS & ON FILM WAS THE MOST WATCHED ON CABLE

Correct response: What is archery?

One Comment
  1. If I were Patrick, I would wager $5,200 so that if I got right, I would be in the lead by $100. Another possible wager would be $2,500 so I would be $100 ahead of Becky, but the only problem would be that I would be in the mercy of an incorrect response by Anne. So my wager would be $5,200. NO MORE! NO LESS!

What do you think?