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November 6, 2013

Daily analysis, November 6 – when your opponent doesn’t wager to tie

Are you caught up on my wagering strategies? You’d better be – I’ve got a new installment coming out very soon!Cover 20131106

We’ve had seven(!) straight games with a new champion. Rani’s in position to end this tonight – although if you look closely and remember our lessons from Part Two, you’ll see she’s got an interesting situation on her hands.

Rani Peffer: 9,600
Kellie Herson: 6,600
Evan Voorn: 7,200

Notice anything about the relationship between Rani’s and Evan’s scores? Evan has exactly 3/4 of Rani’s total – a wager-to-tie scenario for the leader.

Rani should wager 4,800 – no more, no less.

Evan has a choice to make. He can wager everything, in an attempt to tie Rani if they’re both right and she wagers properly. If he’s nervous about the category, though, he can wager 2,400, although this puts him at risk of being passed by Kellie.

Kellie has a decision as well. If she wants to stay above both opponents should they miss, she should wager no more than 1,800. (She should wager at least 1,200 in case Evan makes an “unsafe” wager.) Alternatively, if she thinks Evan might go for the 2,400 option and she’s reasonably confident in the category, she should wager at least 3,000 – preferably everything.

Final Jeopardy wagers November 6 2013

Poor Evan – he made the right play, whether he knew it or not, and Rani wasn’t having it.

The Final Jeopardy! clue for November 6, 2013:

ON THE GLOBE
OF THE 5 NAMED CIRCLES OF LATITUDE ON A STANDARD EARTH GLOBE, IT’S THE ONE WITH THE LONGEST NAME

Correct response: What is the Tropic of Capricorn?

3 Comments
  1. When you say Evan “can wager anything,” I’m pretty sure you meant “everything.” If not, I totally am not following you here.

  2. Cerulean permalink

    I wouldn’t say Rani’s wager is that wrong, as Evan is somewhat forced to wager everything to cover Kellie.

What do you think?