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Welcome to The Final Wager

“Keith Williams ruined everything.”

I’m 2003 College Champion Keith Williams, and I’ll show you how to handle the ins and outs of game theory – knowledge that can spell the difference between victory and defeat on Jeopardy!, and help you in other aspects of your life.

A note about recaps

It was a fun three years, but I’m no longer doing regular written analyses. Instead, I now offer a live video recap each weekend of the previous week’s games, discussing strategies, clues, and, of course, wagers.

You can view the most recent below. Be sure to subscribe and join me live for the next!

How to wager in Final Jeopardy!

Improper wagering in Final Jeopardy! has cost countless players. In my groundbreaking series, I show you how to calculate the correct wager with as little math as possible.

Click here to begin. You’ll be following in some big footsteps:

“[Keith’s] innovation wasn’t the theory itself but being able to describe the theory in a clear, cogent way so that even a Jeopardy! beginner like me could follow it.”

–Arthur Chu, 11-time champ and TOC finalist

“The Final Wager helped me feel comfortable about the aspect of the show that had me the most concerned ahead of time.”

–Kristin Sausville, 5-time champ and TOC quarterfinalist

Daily analysis

Thursday 11/3


Winning Pyramid

Mystery Quizzes

Recap #27

By the Numbers

No more drought


Fritz Holznagel

Fact Primers

Russian & Soviet leaders

How to Wager

The basics

The Final Wager calculator screencap

The backstory

Why this? Why now?

Keith semifinal

Media appearances


Keith Arthur CNBC